Research

Research / Manuscript complete

The Digital Prosperity Paradox: A Framework for Measuring Service Continuity Under Dependencies and Common Shocks

A service-continuity framework and reproducible synthetic experiment comparing three dependency architectures, with results, inference limits and a proposed Saudi validation protocol.

Research / Manuscript complete

The Token Deflation Trap: A Preliminary Model of the Economic Value of Accelerated Compute’s Commercial Life

A reproducible synthetic six-year study of how inference-unit price decline, demand elasticity, capacity growth, variable cost and discounting shape computing investment returns.

Research / Manuscript complete

The Conditional Predictive Value of Satellite Nighttime Lights in the Saudi Economy

A reproducible synthetic study of whether nighttime lights add predictive value to Saudi economic nowcasting—and how that value can reverse after a lighting-regime change.

Research / Preprint

From Token Factories to Thermal Schedulers

A synthetic linear-program experiment and field-test protocol for deadline-valid AI inference, electricity, cooling water, GPU/LPU telemetry and weather.

Research / Manuscript complete

From Report to Executable Contract: A Conceptual Study and Computational Experiment in Exportable Software-Failure Knowledge

A conceptual working paper and reproducible synthetic demonstration of executable failure contracts, semantic transfer, test oracles and the commercial evidence an export industry would require.

Research / Manuscript complete

The Reproduction Boundary: A Testable Model of Supplier-Independent Technical Recoverability

A research working paper on the Reproduction Boundary and a testable model for restoring technical capability after supplier loss.

Research / Manuscript complete

Data Embassies and Saudi Sovereign Continuity: A Testable Comparative Framework

An analytical working paper comparing the legal protection of a data embassy, cases of record continuity under war and disaster, and cryptographic distribution, with proposed tests for any Saudi application.

Research / Manuscript complete

A Model of Distributed Authority During Disruption: The Limits of Safe Local Decision-Making in Digital State Services

A bounded 25-state, five-policy computational examination of safe local authority for offline public services, with explicit limits.

Research / Manuscript complete

Code Does Not Fly on Its Own

An analytical paper based on open sources that separates AI use, produced outputs, independent verification, and operational capability, placing the northern Yemen case in regional history without exceeding the limits of attribution or evidence.

Research / Published

Lahjawi: Arabic Cross-Dialect Translator

A paper in the January 2025 WACL-4 proceedings, with Safwan AlModhayan among its co-authors, on Arabic cross-dialect translation.

Research / Preprint

Wasm: A Pipeline for Constructing Structured Arabic Interleaved Multimodal Corpora

A 2025 arXiv preprint co-authored by Safwan AlModhayan, on constructing Arabic multimodal corpora.